Model Overview
This interactive model simulates Rocky Mountain spotted fever and the brown dog tick (Rhipicephalus sanguineus) dynamics to explore how control strategies affect tick populations and infection prevalence over time.
You can adjust the parameters to explore how different population sizes, environmental conditions, and management strategies influence tick and disease dynamics. Default values represent baseline scenarios.
Adjustable Parameters
Population Parameters
| Parameter | Description |
|---|---|
| Tick Population | Total number of ticks at the start of the simulation. |
| Proportion of Ticks Infected | Initial proportion of ticks carrying the pathogen. |
| Proportion of Dogs Susceptible |
Initial proportion of uninfected dogs in the population.
The proportions of susceptible, infected, and recovered dogs always sum to 1. Changing the proportions in one compartment will automatically adjust the others to maintain this total. This value autopopulates based on the values chosen for proportion infected and recovered. |
| Proportion of Dogs Infected | Initial proportion of infected dogs.
Infected dogs may transmit disease until they recover or die. They may move to the recovered compartment after an average of 7 days. |
| Proportion of Dogs Recovered | Initial proportion of recovered dogs.
Recovered dogs may lose immunity and return to the susceptible compartment after an average of 6 months. |
| Proportion of Dogs that are Inside-only |
Initial proportion of dogs that live in a home.
The proportions of indoor, roaming, and stray dogs always sum to 1. Changing the proportions in one compartment will automatically adjust the others to maintain this total. This value autopopulates based on the values chosen for proportion roaming and stray |
| Proportion of Dogs that are Stray | Initial proportion of dogs that are unowned and live outdoors. |
| Proportion of Dogs that Roam | Initial proportion of dogs that can move between homes and outdoors. |
Simulation Parameters
| Parameter | Description |
|---|---|
| Number of Simulations | Number of times the model will be run. |
| Number of Years | Length of each model run. |
| Climate Type | Determines whether tick populations experience winter diapause (Temperate) or remain active longer throughout the year (Tropical). |
Treatment Parameters
We suggest waiting until the 2nd year to start treatment, allowing the population time to stabilize.| Parameter | Description |
|---|---|
| Dog Acaricide |
Controls the timing, coverage, and type of acaricide treatment for dogs.
The duration is assumed to be the following: Bath = 7 days, Oral = 1 month, Collar = 6 months. The efficacy is assumed to be the following: Bath = 50%, Oral = 90%, Collar = 90%. |
| Environmental Acaricide | Controls tick reduction in the environment. |
| Dog Removal |
Controls dog culling.
Dog removal occurs once per round. |
| Spay/Neuter |
Controls reproductive management of dogs.
Spay/neuter is applied once per round. |